Isnin, 31 Disember 2012

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US stocks close year with sharp jump

Posted: 31 Dec 2012 05:03 PM PST

WASHINGTON: US markets closed out the year on Monday with a sharp jump on news that Congress was close to a deal to avert the fiscal cliff - but also on a 4.4 percent gain by market giant Apple.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 166.03 points (1.28 percent) at 13,104.14.

The broad-market S&P 500 gained 23.79 points (1.69 percent) at 1,426.19, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite surged 59.20 points (2.00 percent) to 3,019.51.

The gains reversed losses of the previous week when cliff worries were strong, and left the main indices with respectable gains for the year: 7.3 percent for the Dow, 13.4 percent for the S&P 500, and 15.9 percent for the Nasdaq.

With a midnight deadline looming to avert the sharp tax hikes and spending cuts aimed at slashing the fiscal deficit - but which could force a recession - the White House and congressional leaders said a deal was nigh that would mitigate the worst effects.

Nothing was certain: while the Senate was expected to pass the compromise legislation after it is finalised, possibly before the midnight Monday deadline, in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives, where resistance could be tougher, the vote would not be before Tuesday.

But the markets pushed higher in expectation that the immediate threat of more than US$400 billion in tax increases would mostly be avoided.

"A compromise over taxes and spending would be an important step that supports economic growth in the year ahead," said Gary Thayer, strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors.

Major shares were nearly all in the green, led by Apple's surge.

The world's most valuable company by market capitalisation - an even US$500 billion at the end of trade on Monday - was a major driver of the markets ruing the year. Even though its price at Monday's close, US$532.17, was well below the year's high of US$705.07, Apple shares still racked up a 25.8 percent gain for 2012. -- AFP

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Cliff's Edge Draws Close - Wall Street Journal

Posted: 31 Dec 2012 09:02 AM PST

Talks between Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) and Vice President Joe Biden continued Monday, as Washington tried to do what it has promised for months: engineer an alternative to the so-called fiscal cliff.

Getty Images

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.), shown on Monday, was working with Vice President Joe Biden on a compromise to avert the fiscal cliff.

A White House official said Monday morning the talks made "progress overnight." A spokesman for Mr. McConnell said the two men "will continue to work toward a solution."

According to a McConnell aide, the senator's last two conversations with Mr. Biden were at 12:45 a.m. and 6:30 a.m.

On taxes, one of the thorniest issues on the table, the two sides appeared to be converging. President Barack Obama has called for raising individual income-tax rates on family income above $250,000. In the latest round of Senate talks, Republicans proposed a $550,000 threshold, which Democrats moved to $450,000, according to Sen. Dick Durbin (D., Ill.).

Looking Over the Fiscal Cliff

The federal government faces a rolling series of deadlines over the next few months in its continuing budget battle. Take a look ahead.

Falling Over the Fiscal Cliff

See some scenarios for how different groups of people may be affected by the tax changes that will take place if the fiscal cliff isn't resolved by the Jan. 1., 2013, deadline.

On the estate tax, Democrats are no longer insisting on an increased rate and instead have agreed to put the matter to a separate vote, which suggests current rates will likely continue. That is a concession to the GOP and a number of farm-state Democrats in the Senate. Absent action, rates on estates will jump and the threshold at which they would hit is set to fall.

Other fundamental divisions remained, including primarily a disagreement of principle between the parties: Republicans wanted any tax increase, which they only reluctantly accepted, to go toward reducing the deficit. Democrats wanted any increased tax revenue to offset spending cuts that are scheduled to kick in as part of the fiscal cliff, and to pay for extending unemployment benefits, among other items.

New Year's Eve, however, dawned with no solution to Washington's budget impasse. What happens Monday could go some way to determining the short-term fate of the U.S. economy and the reputation of the government, both of which have been tarnished by the spectacle of endless seemingly circular negotiations. In the past two weeks, at least three different sets of negotiation teams have sought a way out.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) said on the Senate floor Monday that discussions continue, but warned "we really are running out of time," adding "There are a number of issues on which the two sides are still apart."

The Senate had set itself a goal of hatching a deal by midafternoon Sunday, a deadline that slipped by as both sides instead bickered in public and tried to apportion blame for the continuing impasse. Late Sunday, Mr. Reid recessed the Senate until Monday, leaving the McConnell/Biden talks to take the lead.

"There is significant distance between the two sides," Mr. Reid said Sunday. "There is still time left to reach an agreement and we intend to continue negotiations."

In the absence of a bipartisan deal, Mr. Reid is preparing for a Monday vote on a bill to carry out Mr. Obama's backup proposal, which tackles only a few items on the legislative agenda, including extending current tax rates for income up to $250,000 for couples filing jointly. Democrats are confident they could pass the bill through the Senate. A key question is whether the House, which returned Sunday evening, would approve it if it doesn't enjoy broad bipartisan support in the Senate.

Some senators seemed almost resigned to the prospect of Congress missing its deadline, on the grounds that spending cuts and tax increases that take effect Tuesday and Wednesday, the first two days of the new year, could be reversed.

"The world won't end," said Sen. Tom Harkin (D., Iowa.). "Things can be made retroactive."

In a sign of opposition that could mount to any deal from liberal Democrats, Sen. Harkin took to the Senate floor to criticize reports that the compromise was taking shape in negotiations between Messrs. McConnell and Biden.

One Democratic offer on the negotiating table would extend current tax rates on income up to $450,000—a retreat from Mr. Obama's original proposal to raise taxes on income over $250,000. Democrats also were moving to compromise on the president's proposal to increase estate taxes.

"We're going to lock in forever the idea that $450,000 a year is middle class in America,'' said Mr. Harkin. "The direction they are heading in is absolutely the wrong direction for our country.''

Still, some remained hopeful elements of a deal were on the table and could be brought into alignment at the last minute.

Sen. Barbara Boxer (D., Calif.) urged colleagues not to "prejudge'' the outcome before the negotiations are complete.

"This is a compromise. We don't have a parliamentary system of government here,'' said Ms. Boxer, who like other Democrats from high-cost states, welcomes a compromise that raises the threshold on income-tax increases because $250,000 doesn't go as far in California as it does in other regions.

"I am hopeful that we will get something done,'' said Ms. Boxer. "If we do, and it is fair—fair enough—we should get our country off this cliff.''

As aides to Messrs. Reid and McConnell negotiated through the weekend, the focus was on a narrow bill that would likely fall far short of the lofty deficit-reduction goals congressional leaders and Mr. Obama had initially pursued.

White House officials believe raising tax rates on income above $250,000, combined with changes in capital-gains, dividend, and estate-tax rules, would raise roughly $950 billion over 10 years. According to its own budget estimates, that would raise between $50 billion and $60 billion in new revenue in the first year, less than 10% of the U.S.'s projected budget deficit.

The other items being discussed as part of the slimmed-down package would cost the government. One would extend unemployment benefits for one year, at a cost of roughly $30 billion. Another would prevent Medicare payments to doctors from being cut, at a cost of $10 billion, according to estimates.

The most expensive item being considered as part of the package would extend a change to the alternative-minimum tax, which was designed to make sure the wealthiest didn't avoid taxes by accumulating too many deductions and credits. The AMT wasn't indexed for inflation, and Congress has repeatedly passed an annual exemption to protect middle-class families from the tax. The change being considered would prevent the tax from hitting as many as 30 million additional households, and it would reduce potential revenue by close to $100 billion.

Mr. Obama expressed the Democrats' view in an interview that aired Sunday on NBC's "Meet the Press."

"If we have raised some revenue by the wealthy paying a little bit more, that would be sufficient to turn off what's called the sequester, these automatic spending cuts, and that also would have a better outcome for our economy long-term," Mr. Obama said.

Sen. Bob Corker (R., Tenn.) said it remained a problem that Democrats wanted to spend the new tax revenue that would be raised by increasing the top rates. "All the money is being spent—it's not being used for any kind of deficit reduction," he said.

To address that concern, Republicans, in negotiations with Mr. Reid, resurrected a proposal to cut spending by slowing the growth of Social Security's cost-of-living adjustments. Mr. Obama, rare among Democrats, has shown some willingness to accept the idea, but only as part of a broader budget deal, not the kind of stopgap measure being devised in the Senate.

Mr. Reid was sharply opposed, and the proposal, which is known as "chained CPI," nearly brought the talks to a halt until Republicans withdrew the idea.

Sen. John McCain (R., Ariz.) said "we're closer than one would think" to a deal, but "we cannot win a PR battle where we are holding fast on tax breaks for the wealthiest people versus the chained CPI. It's not a winning hand."

—Patrick O'Connor, Carol E. Lee and Corey Boles contributed to this article.

New Year's Eve celebrations around the world: live - Telegraph.co.uk

Posted: 31 Dec 2012 08:18 AM PST

16.34 Pictures are starting to come in from Hong Kong, where a huge firework display in Victoria Harbour helped welcome 2013

(AP)

16.01 It's not all doom and gloom on Wall Street: these traders have donned party glasses for the last day of 2012 trading on the New York Stock Exchange

(Getty)

15.42 Two pupils get ready to celebrate the New Year at a school in Jiangxi Province, China

(Rex)

15.32 As we reach the end of 2012, academics in the United States have come up with their annual list of the year's most annoying words. They suggest that "fiscal cliff", "trending" and "spoiler alert" are among the words and phrases that should be banned from the English language. What do you think? You can read more here.

15.10 In Japan, Shinto priests leave the worship hall of Meji Shrine after a ritual in preparation for the New Year. Some three million people are expected to visit the shrine to pray for their health, happiness and property during the first three days of 2013

(EPA)

15.10 Meanwhile, hundreds of people celebrate the traditional San Silvestre Swim at the Mlagros beach in Tarragona, northeastern Spain

(EPA)

14.30 Over on the other side of the Atlantic, there may be little for American politicians to celebrate this year. Our correspondent Raf Sanchez reports: "Washington DC is not famous for its night life at the best of times but this year the city is in the shadow of the $600 billion fiscal cliff. As the rest of the world is ringing in 2013, many on Capitol Hill will still be frantically working to reach a deal. If we get a breakthrough then it's time to party like it's 1999 (when Bill Clinton and the Republican Congress balanced the budget - keep up). If there's no deal, then there's only time for a couple of grim beers before we all go back to our desks in the morning."

13.30 Spectacular scenes across Sydney's famous Harbour

(Getty)

13.29 2013 will ring in the changes in very different ways around the world. Hung-over Russians will wake up to a "new and troubling reality" on New Year's Day, when beer becomes classified as an alcoholic drink for the very first time, reports Tom Parfitt in Moscow. Read the full story here.

13.19 Fireworks explode over Sydney Harbour as it turns midnight

(Reuters)

13.05 Lasers light up the sky above Victoria harbour in Hong Kong

(Getty)

13.04 Our Moscow correspondent, Tom Parftt, reports that Russian revellers are expected to gather in Red Square, where there will be a firework display over the Kremlin later. He writes: "In Moscow, where snow is falling as the temperature hovers around -7C, shoppers are making their last desperate purchases before rushing home to their families. New Year is a more important event for Russians than Christmas – a low-key event marked on January 7 according to the pre-revolutionary Julian calendar – and gifts are put under a tree on December 31st, just as they are in the West on December 25th."

12.49 Kylie Minogue was clearly getting into the New Year spirit when she tweeted this photo of her in Sydney earlier:

12.48 Take a brolly if you are seeing in the New Year outdoors in Britain tonight. Forecasters are warning that the UK's celebrations will be dampened by a continuation of the downpours that have soaked the country over the festive season. Many parts of England, Wales and Scotland remain under flood alerts, and some areas are expected to see as much as 33mm (1.3ins) of rain falling today. However, the start of 2013 is set to bring better news, as the weeks of heavy rain give way to cloud, dull skies and light showers.

12.40 Dancers take part in parade in Bali, Indonesia

(EPA)

12.31 Indian revellers celebrate in Amritsar

(Getty)

12.20 In Sydney crowds are gathering for traditionally one of the most spectacular New Year's Eve fireworks displays anywhere in the world. Lord Mayor Clover Moore said about 1.5 million spectators are expected. Those in place already include Melissa Sjostedt who has made the journey from Florida to see the festivities which she first read about a decade ago in National Geographic magazine.

12.05 Meanwhile Malcolm Moore, our Beijing correspondent, reminds us that the Chinese New Year - when the Year of the Dragon gives way to the Year of the Snake - takes place on February 9. Those who want to celebrate the western calendar are having to dig deep with the city's finest restaurants offering special menus at up to £150 a head.

12.00 Special cause for celebration at Myanmar - or Burma to you and me - where the country will see in the New Year with a grand fireworks display in a celebration unprecedented in the former military-ruled country.

Thousands were expected to attend the celebration at a large field in Yangon against the backdrop of the city's famed Shwedagon Pagoda, where the Myanmar public will get its chance to do what much of the world does every New Year's Eve.

Preparations for Myanmar's New Year celebrations (Reuters)

11.56 People take part in the celebrations under the Harbour Bridge

(Getty)

11.50 Celebrations are already underway in Sydney, where fireworks are lighting up the city's skyline for the 9pm family show

(Reuters)

11.30 In Pakistan Rob Crilly, our correspondent reports, the celebrations are being held amid tight security.

Pakistanis are sending their 2013 text message greetings several hours early in case the country's mobile phone networks are turned off later to prevent mobile phones being used to detonate bombs.

11.15 The Indian armed forces on Monday cancelled their New Year celebrations while many hotels and bars scaled back parties in the wake of the gang-rape which has shocked the nation.

QuoteThe Indian army, air force and navy have decided to cancel all the parties planned to welcome the new year. They want to dedicate the last day of the year to the gang-rape victim," a senior defence ministry official told AFP.

In the capital, where the horrific crime took place on December 16, leading private members' club Gymkhana, where top officials and ministers are often seen, cancelled its party as did the Press Club in the capital.

The five-star Ashoka hotel in New Delhi also closed its popular nightclub, while other bar owners were quoted in the media as saying they were scaling back festivities.

A student prays during a vigil in Ahmedabad (Reuters)

11.10 In Auckland the celebrations are well underway with Kiwis being serenaded by "Legendary New Zealand funk rockers Supergroove" - no I haven't heard of them either.

11.00 Welcome to the Telegraph's Live Blog as we brace ourselves for 2013.

Kredit: www.nst.com.my
 

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